Relatively high valuations in a particular stock market are followed by a steady appreciation of the home market’s base currency in the next five years. Therefore it’s very likely that the dollar will resume its upward trajectory versus the euro.
Germany’s finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble put the question to the Greek government during negotiations, according to a senior member of Greece’s negotiating team.
The announcement by the Icelandic government last week that it is planning to lift the capital controls on the island can already now be seen as a watershed moment for local fund selector polls, at the Expert Investor Iceland held last week in Reykjavik revealed.
The IMF yesterday warned that a rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve could lead to a new crisis, with a spike in bond yields and emerging market economies particularly badly hit. Most estimates of when the Fed will begin rate hiking, or ‘normalisation’ as it is often called, range from as early as…
Although the Icelandic economy is back on a steady growth path, with GDP growth at 1.9% in 2014, strict capital controls, a relic of the banking crisis which struck the country in 2008, are still in place. Since autumn 2008, Icelandic investors have not been able to move any of their capital out of Iceland.…
When we asked a crowd of Belgian fund selectors back in January about the possibility of a Greek exit from the euro, only 13% deemed that likely to happen. At our Pan-European Congress in Rome last month, the share of Grexit-believers had almost tripled to 37%. At Expert Investor Denmark earlier this week, it exceeded 50%…
At our Pan-European Congress in Rome last month, we asked delegates how they deal with the volatility of currency markets. Do they hedge or do they take active currency bets?
The devaluation of the euro is regarded by many as a one-way street: if the US is a guide, then Europe’s QE 1 will be followed by QE 2 and QE 3 and if history is a guide, the devaluation may go on for many more months. So what should we do to prepare?
