Has the Great Rotation finally arrived?
In the aftermath of the US elections, investors have been selling off bonds and have bought equities. Is this a sign the long-awaited Great Rotation is finally unfolding?
In the aftermath of the US elections, investors have been selling off bonds and have bought equities. Is this a sign the long-awaited Great Rotation is finally unfolding?
Sweden’s fund buyers had just regained interest in emerging markets. However, Donald Trump’s election as the next American president has made them turn away from EM assets again.
As Americans get stuck into their Thanksgiving day celebrations the rest of the world still has its eye on the investment ball and some may be weighing up whether, just as with food, you can have too much of a good thing.
Whereas equity markets have quickly shrugged off the result of the US presidential elections, peripheral bond spreads have widened since. Trump’s election seems to have reminded markets of the possible consequences of an Italian no-vote in next week’s referendum.
Ignore the politics. If there’s one takeaway for investors from 2016, it’s the move from growth to value.
European equities are now on their longest net outflows streak since 2012. But it is not just equity funds that are being sold off. Bond funds are also under increasing pressure.
The weakest US dividend growth since the financial crisis pulled global dividend pay-outs down 4% year on year in the third quarter, Henderson Global Investors said on Monday.
The past week has seen the widest global disparity between equity and bond flows ever, according to the latest BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report.
Donald Trump’s election victory has triggered an almost unprecedented move into US equities. According to Lipper fund flows data, American investors funnelled a record net sum of $27bn to US equity ETFs during the seven days after the election.
Since Donald Trump’s election victory last week, a consensus has quickly been building among investors that US treasury yields will spike. And that US equities will benefit. Have markets been too quick in drawing their conclusions?
If a week is a long time in politics, then in markets it can make or break a trader, while heightening the contrarian instincts of investors with a longer-term view.
In this video interview, Wilhelm Zehender, a fund analyst at VP Fund solutions in Liechtenstein, explains why he has started investing in alternative Ucits funds alongside his traditional hedge fund portfolio. He also reflects on the returns he has made on his investments…