AI: The only case when ‘this time it’s different’ isn’t just an expensive mistake
Is the probability distribution of returns different?
ANNOUNCEMENT: Expert Investor is now PA Europe. Read more.
Is the probability distribution of returns different?
Rising interest rates, widening discounts and fixed income inflows have bruised assets
Three major property developers in Germany have gone into insolvency in the space of two months. According to reports from Berlin, Centrum Group, Development Partner and Euroboden have all begun to declare bankruptcy in recent weeks due to financial problems caused by a constraint on the nation’s property markets. A report from Reuters suggested Euroboden…
An S&P Global Market Intelligence suggests so
There is a question over whether spreads adequately reflect the outlook for the global economy
China is down some 17% so far this year – a serious concern for EM investors, given it accounts for 30% of the MSCI Emerging Markets index China has exerted a major drag on emerging market indices over the past two years. First, state interference in its high value internet companies pushed markets lower, then…
Fund managers discuss where they are finding the most attractively-valued stocks Since Warren Buffett got involved, the world has gone crazy for Japan. The Nikkei is up 23.4% for the year to date (to 10 July 2023). That puts it 8.8%, 11.2% and 25.8% ahead of the S&P 500, Eurostoxx 50 and FTSE 100 respectively.…
Geopolitics has knocked inflation off its top spot in the list of European family-office major concerns, according to new research from UBS. Although recent inflation numbers – and the associated likelihood of interest rates remaining higher for longer – make worrying reading for many investors, new research from UBS shows inflation falling to third place among the…
While the market can famously remain irrational longer than investors can remain solvent, analysis suggests this growth rally is thinly supported Having largely given up on organic intelligence, investors have grown all excited over its artificial offspring. As a result, the (mainly US) stocks linked to AI have raced away from the broad market this…
Some element of ‘chip war’ would appear to be brewing between China and Europe. The Chinese government has announced that companies exporting gallium and germanium – both vital in the production of computer microchips – will now require an export licence. This comes a week after Dutch firm ASML was hit with new export controls…
In the face of the excitement surrounding the prospects for artificial intelligence, the market needs to do its homework on potential risks and rewards At the end of last year, plenty of experts were calling time on the decade-long technology rally. Its valuations couldn’t be sustained in an environment of higher interest rates, they said,…
Corporate bond yields may look superficially attractive but, writes Cherry Reynard, this is a time to identify the strongest credit manager available The high yield market is in an odd position. On the one hand, there are clear and mounting signs of corporate distress – bankruptcies and defaults are rising and many companies are feeling…